Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000173 0.000192 0.000212 0.000236 0.000262 0.000291 0.000325
2025-02-16 0.000134 0.000161 0.000192 0.000232 0.000281 0.000340 0.000416
2025-02-23 0.000111 0.000141 0.000179 0.000229 0.000296 0.000382 0.000504
2025-03-02 0.000097 0.000129 0.000171 0.000230 0.000314 0.000429 0.000601
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000119 0.000163 0.000230 0.000328 0.000470 0.000695
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000106 0.000151 0.000220 0.000326 0.000487 0.000756
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000100 0.000147 0.000221 0.000341 0.000529 0.000860
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000098 0.000147 0.000229 0.000366 0.000592 0.001008
2025-04-06 0.000059 0.000091 0.000140 0.000225 0.000370 0.000618 0.001096
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000083 0.000130 0.000214 0.000362 0.000623 0.001143
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000079 0.000128 0.000215 0.000374 0.000666 0.001271
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000220 0.000395 0.000726 0.001442
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000073 0.000122 0.000216 0.000399 0.000755 0.001557
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000070 0.000120 0.000218 0.000413 0.000809 0.001735
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000066 0.000116 0.000216 0.000420 0.000849 0.001893
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000064 0.000114 0.000217 0.000435 0.000906 0.002101
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000217 0.000445 0.000956 0.002299
2025-06-08 0.000031 0.000057 0.000105 0.000207 0.000436 0.000958 0.002377
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000055 0.000103 0.000209 0.000449 0.001016 0.002616
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000216 0.000478 0.001117 0.002998
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000478 0.001145 0.003173
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000048 0.000094 0.000201 0.000463 0.001131 0.003221
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000047 0.000093 0.000203 0.000476 0.001195 0.003525